You left out "C) Tech giants emphatically encouraging everyone to use only and solely their smartphones". We all know the reasons for this (collect and sell personal data, and keep people watching ads by offering click and rage bait), but the tech giants increasingly have incentives to keep people from writing code, or performing actions not in the tech giants' best interests. We, as a society, are not going to be producing anything en mass except smart phones. Very large mass markets are the only reason computer hardware was cheap.
I remember when during covid, hardware prices went up like crazy.
New normal. Hardware is going to progress but increasingly be out of reach of the average person. Why:
A) The relationships and assumed truths that supported the pre-2016 supply chains which enabled cheap hardware are disintegrating.
B) Tech is not seen as a positive thing any more by the masses.
An AI bubble pop may provide temporary relief, but it won't change A or B.
You left out "C) Tech giants emphatically encouraging everyone to use only and solely their smartphones". We all know the reasons for this (collect and sell personal data, and keep people watching ads by offering click and rage bait), but the tech giants increasingly have incentives to keep people from writing code, or performing actions not in the tech giants' best interests. We, as a society, are not going to be producing anything en mass except smart phones. Very large mass markets are the only reason computer hardware was cheap.
Yes. This bubble will pop and we’ll have 3-4 rough years.