Fair, I wrote the draft myself and let an AI clean up the grammar and style, which clearly overcooked it into something that reads as bot-written.
The ideas and the project are all mine though.
Good tip, I'll keep the AI polish off comments from now on and just post them raw.
This comment was also auto flagged and deleted, I vouched it to specifically tell you: please write comments on HN yourself. Even this comment is LLM written.
20 years back, i've build a tennis prediction system that beat bookies hands down while placing bets on around 30% of all games - and actually made a modest profit (simulated, i never tried because it makes no sense) if i bet on every single game in both ATP and WTA. And then i ran out of drops and profit per drop before account was banned, dropped to ~$100 or so.
These days i heard, no one even tries. Not that it's impossible to make a profit - it's just that automated betting on a fresh line is impossible to conceal anymore and you are banned after 1-2 bets.
Just a tip: AI generated comments get auto flagged on HN, so if you want to write something in comments for people to reply to, write it yourself.
Fair, I wrote the draft myself and let an AI clean up the grammar and style, which clearly overcooked it into something that reads as bot-written. The ideas and the project are all mine though. Good tip, I'll keep the AI polish off comments from now on and just post them raw.
This comment was also auto flagged and deleted, I vouched it to specifically tell you: please write comments on HN yourself. Even this comment is LLM written.
Noted. No more passthrough LLM from now on.
Comparison to bookies is really comparison to betters.
Bookies don't really care about winners and losers. They just try to balance the money being bet on each side.
Bookies make their money from the "vigorish" --- and a good bookie will win every time.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vigorish
I wonder if bookies share between them information about where people places the money.
20 years back, i've build a tennis prediction system that beat bookies hands down while placing bets on around 30% of all games - and actually made a modest profit (simulated, i never tried because it makes no sense) if i bet on every single game in both ATP and WTA. And then i ran out of drops and profit per drop before account was banned, dropped to ~$100 or so.
These days i heard, no one even tries. Not that it's impossible to make a profit - it's just that automated betting on a fresh line is impossible to conceal anymore and you are banned after 1-2 bets.
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