We aren't as used to this as we used to be due to the higher pace of news nowadays (increasing for decades mind you), but this is something that will unfold over the next year or two and will have a lasting tale that could go may years beyond that.
Thus the predicament of climate change, it moves just slow enough that many can ignore it, but it moves fast enough that the ecosystem is being slammed by it. And the industrial civilization built on top of it? Time will tell how we manage.
I find I can't even process that models from only 6 months ago, whose predictions were already somber, turned out to be overly optimistic by a factor of 50% and climbing. And life appears to just go on for now, at least for my privileged arse and hopefully yours also, even as we watch in real time a rising tide biting into the base of the metaphorical sandcastle we're sitting on. Goodness.
It has been fascinating watching how all the model predictions have evolved over the last 8 months.
Back at the start of the year, they all figured it would peak at about 2c, now almost every model is over 3c with some well above that.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/plume.ht...
We aren't as used to this as we used to be due to the higher pace of news nowadays (increasing for decades mind you), but this is something that will unfold over the next year or two and will have a lasting tale that could go may years beyond that.
Thus the predicament of climate change, it moves just slow enough that many can ignore it, but it moves fast enough that the ecosystem is being slammed by it. And the industrial civilization built on top of it? Time will tell how we manage.
I find I can't even process that models from only 6 months ago, whose predictions were already somber, turned out to be overly optimistic by a factor of 50% and climbing. And life appears to just go on for now, at least for my privileged arse and hopefully yours also, even as we watch in real time a rising tide biting into the base of the metaphorical sandcastle we're sitting on. Goodness.
I wonder if it's a deer in headlight moment for most of humanity.
When 2 planes crashed on the runway in Tenerife, one plane had a lot of survivors initially, but many of them sat there just frozen:
https://youarenotsosmart.com/transcript-episode-177-covid-19...
Starting from: > Escape was possible, but not all of the survivors attempted it.
I wonder if that's what deer feel, yeah. See what's coming, see it right there, and yet just... don't quite believe it.